GBM

Introduction

Gradient Boosting Machine (for Regression and Classification) is a forward learning ensemble method. The guiding heuristic is that good predictive results can be obtained through increasingly refined approximations. H2O’s GBM sequentially builds regression trees on all the features of the dataset in a fully distributed way - each tree is built in parallel.

The current version of GBM is fundamentally the same as in previous versions of H2O (same algorithmic steps, same histogramming techniques), with the exception of the following changes:

  • Improved ability to train on categorical variables (using the nbins_cats parameter)
  • Minor changes in histogramming logic for some corner cases

There was some code cleanup and refactoring to support the following features:

  • Per-row observation weights
  • Per-row offsets
  • N-fold cross-validation
  • Support for more distribution functions (such as Gamma, Poisson, and Tweedie)

Quick Start

  • Quick GBM using H2O Flow (Lending Club Dataset) [Youtube]
  • Simplest getting started R script [Github]
  • GBM & Random Forest Video Overview [Youtube]
  • GBM and other algos in R (Citi Bike Dataset) [Youtube] [Github]
  • Prof. Trevor Hasite - Gradient Boosting Machine Learning [Youtube]

Defining a GBM Model

  • model_id: (Optional) Specify a custom name for the model to use as a reference. By default, H2O automatically generates a destination key.
  • training_frame: (Required) Specify the dataset used to build the model. NOTE: In Flow, if you click the Build a model button from the Parse cell, the training frame is entered automatically.
  • validation_frame: (Optional) Specify the dataset used to evaluate the accuracy of the model.
  • nfolds: Specify the number of folds for cross-validation.
  • response_column: (Required) Specify the column to use as the independent variable. The data can be numeric or categorical.
  • ignored_columns: (Optional) Specify the column or columns to be excluded from the model. In Flow, click the checkbox next to a column name to add it to the list of columns excluded from the model. To add all columns, click the All button. To remove a column from the list of ignored columns, click the X next to the column name. To remove all columns from the list of ignored columns, click the None button. To search for a specific column, type the column name in the Search field above the column list. To only show columns with a specific percentage of missing values, specify the percentage in the Only show columns with more than 0% missing values field. To change the selections for the hidden columns, use the Select Visible or Deselect Visible buttons.
  • ignore_const_cols: Specify whether to ignore constant training columns, since no information can be gained from them. This option is enabled by default.
  • ntrees: Specify the number of trees to build.
  • max_depth: Specify the maximum tree depth.
  • min_rows: Specify the minimum number of observations for a leaf (nodesize in R).
  • nbins: (Numerical/real/int only) Specify the number of bins for the histogram to build, then split at the best point.
  • nbins_cats: (Categorical/enums only) Specify the maximum number of bins for the histogram to build, then split at the best point. Higher values can lead to more overfitting. The levels are ordered alphabetically; if there are more levels than bins, adjacent levels share bins. This value has a more significant impact on model fitness than nbins. Larger values may increase runtime, especially for deep trees and large clusters, so tuning may be required to find the optimal value for your configuration.
  • seed: Specify the random number generator (RNG) seed for algorithm components dependent on randomization. The seed is consistent for each H2O instance so that you can create models with the same starting conditions in alternative configurations.
  • learn_rate: Specify the learning rate. The range is 0.0 to 1.0.
  • learn_rate_annealing: Specifies to reduce the learn_rate by this factor after every tree. So for N trees, GBM starts with learn_rate and ends with learn_rate * learn_rate_annealing**^*N*. For example, instead of using **learn_rate=0.01, you can now try learn_rate=0.05 and learn_rate_annealing=0.99. This method would converge much faster with almost the same accuracy. Use caution not to overfit.
  • distribution: Specify the distribution (i.e., the loss function). The options are AUTO, bernoulli, multinomial, gaussian, poisson, gamma, laplace, quantile, huber, or tweedie.
  • If the distribution is bernoulli, the the response column must be 2-class categorical
  • If the distribution is multinomial, the response column must be categorical.
  • If the distribution is poisson, the response column must be numeric.
  • If the distribution is laplace, the response column must be numeric.
  • If the distribution is tweedie, the response column must be numeric.
  • If the distribution is gaussian, the response column must be numeric.
  • If the distribution is huber, the response column must be numeric.
  • If the distribution is gamma, the response column must be numeric.
  • If the distribution is quantile, the response column must be numeric.

  • sample_rate: Specify the row sampling rate (x-axis). The range is 0.0 to 1.0. Higher values may improve training accuracy. Test accuracy improves when either columns or rows are sampled. For details, refer to “Stochastic Gradient Boosting” (Friedman, 1999).

  • sample_rate_per_class: When building models from imbalanced datasets, this option specifies that each tree in the ensemble should sample from the full training dataset using a per-class-specific sampling rate rather than a global sample factor (as with sample_rate). The range for this option is 0.0 to 1.0. If this option is specified along with sample_rate, then only the first option that GBM encounters will be used.

  • col_sample_rate: Specify the column sampling rate (y-axis). The range is 0.0 to 1.0. Higher values may improve training accuracy. Test accuracy improves when either columns or rows are sampled. For details, refer to “Stochastic Gradient Boosting” (Friedman, 1999).

  • col_sample_rate_change_per_level: This option specifies to change the column sampling rate as a function of the depth in the tree. For example:

    level 1: col_sample_rate

    level 2: col_sample_rate * factor

    level 3: col_sample_rate * factor^2

    level 4: col_sample_rate * factor^3

    etc.

  • col_sample_rate_per_tree: Specify the column sample rate per tree. This can be a value from 0.0 to 1.0. Note that it is multiplicative with col_sample_rate, so setting both parameters to 0.8, for example, results in 64% of columns being considered at any given node to split.

  • max_abs_leafnode_pred: When building a GBM classification model, this option reduces overfitting by limiting the maximum absolute value of a leaf node prediction. This option defaults to Double.MAX_VALUE.

  • pred_noise_bandwidth: The bandwidth (sigma) of Gaussian multiplicative noise ~N(1,sigma) for tree node predictions. If this parameter is specified with a value greater than 0, then every leaf node prediction is randomly scaled by a number drawn from a Normal distribution centered around 1 with a bandwidth given by this parameter. The default is 0 (disabled).

  • categorical_encoding: Specify one of the following encoding schemes for handling categorical features:

    • auto: Allow the algorithm to decide (default)
    • enum: 1 column per categorical feature
    • one_hot_explicit: N+1 new columns for categorical features with N levels
    • binary: No more than 32 columns per categorical feature
    • eigen: k columns per categorical feature, keeping projections of one-hot-encoded matrix onto k-dim eigen space only

  • min_split_improvement: The value of this option specifies the minimum relative improvement in squared error reduction in order for a split to happen. When properly tuned, this option can help reduce overfitting. Optimal values would be in the 1e-10...1e-3 range.

  • random_split_points: By default GBM bins from min...max in steps of (max-min)/N. When this option is enabled, GBM will instead sample N-1 points from min...max and use the sorted list of those for split finding.

  • histogram_type: By default (AUTO) GBM bins from min...max in steps of (max-min)/N. Random split points or quantile-based split points can be selected as well. RoundRobin can be specified to cycle through all histogram types (one per tree). Use this option to specify the type of histogram to use for finding optimal split points:

    • AUTO
    • UniformAdaptive
    • Random
    • QuantilesGlobal
    • RoundRobin

  • score_each_iteration: (Optional) Specify whether to score during each iteration of the model training.

  • fold_assignment: (Applicable only if a value for nfolds is specified and fold_column is not specified) Specify the cross-validation fold assignment scheme. The available options are AUTO (which is Random), Random, Modulo, or Stratified (which will stratify the folds based on the response variable for classification problems).

  • score_tree_interval: Score the model after every so many trees. Disabled if set to 0.

  • fold_column: Specify the column that contains the cross-validation fold index assignment per observation.

  • offset_column: (Not applicable if the distribution is multinomial) Specify a column to use as the offset.

    Note: Offsets are per-row “bias values” that are used during model training. For Gaussian distributions, they can be seen as simple corrections to the response (y) column. Instead of learning to predict the response (y-row), the model learns to predict the (row) offset of the response column. For other distributions, the offset corrections are applied in the linearized space before applying the inverse link function to get the actual response values. For more information, refer to the following link. If the distribution is Bernoulli, the value must be less than one.

  • weights_column: Specify a column to use for the observation weights, which are used for bias correction. The specified weights_column must be included in the specified training_frame.

    Python only: To use a weights column when passing an H2OFrame to x instead of a list of column names, the specified training_frame must contain the specified weights_column.

    Note: Weights are per-row observation weights and do not increase the size of the data frame. This is typically the number of times a row is repeated, but non-integer values are supported as well. During training, rows with higher weights matter more, due to the larger loss function pre-factor.

  • balance_classes: Specify whether to oversample the minority classes to balance the class distribution. This option is not enabled by default and can increase the data frame size. This option is only applicable for classification. Majority classes can be undersampled to satisfy the max_after_balance_size parameter.

  • max_confusion_matrix_size: Specify the maximum size (in number of classes) for confusion matrices to be printed in the Logs.

  • max_hit_ratio_k: Specify the maximum number (top K) of predictions to use for hit ratio computation. Applicable to multi-class only. To disable, enter 0.

  • r2_stopping: r2_stopping is no longer supported and will be ignored if set - please use stopping_rounds, stopping_metric, and stopping_tolerance instead.

  • stopping_rounds: Stops training when the option selected for stopping_metric doesn’t improve for the specified number of training rounds, based on a simple moving average. To disable this feature, specify 0. The metric is computed on the validation data (if provided); otherwise, training data is used.

    Note: If cross-validation is enabled:

    • All cross-validation models stop training when the validation metric doesn’t improve.
    • The main model runs for the mean number of epochs.
    • N+1 models may be off by the number specified for stopping_rounds from the best model, but the cross-validation metric estimates the performance of the main model for the resulting number of epochs (which may be fewer than the specified number of epochs).

  • stopping_metric: Specify the metric to use for early stopping. The available options are:

    • AUTO: This defaults to logloss for classification, deviance for regression
    • deviance
    • logloss
    • MSE
    • AUC
    • lift_top_group
    • misclassification
    • mean_per_class_error

  • stopping_tolerance: Specify the relative tolerance for the metric-based stopping to stop training if the improvement is less than this value.

  • max_runtime_secs: Maximum allowed runtime in seconds for model training. Use 0 to disable.

  • build_tree_one_node: To run on a single node, check this checkbox. This is suitable for small datasets as there is no network overhead but fewer CPUs are used.

  • quantile_alpha: (Only applicable if Quantile is specified for distribution) Specify the quantile to be used for Quantile Regression.

  • tweedie_power: (Only applicable if Tweedie is specified for distribution) Specify the Tweedie power. The range is from 1 to 2. For a normal distribution, enter 0. For Poisson distribution, enter 1. For a gamma distribution, enter 2. For a compound Poisson-gamma distribution, enter a value greater than 1 but less than 2. For more information, refer to Tweedie distribution.

  • huber_alpha: Specify the desired quantile for Huber/M-regression (the threshold between quadratic and linear loss). This value must be between 0 and 1.

  • checkpoint: Enter a model key associated with a previously-trained model. Use this option to build a new model as a continuation of a previously-generated model.

  • keep_cross_validation_predictions: Enable this option to keep the cross-validation predictions.

  • keep_cross_validation_fold_assignment: Enable this option to preserve the cross-validation fold assignment.

  • class_sampling_factors: Specify the per-class (in lexicographical order) over/under-sampling ratios. By default, these ratios are automatically computed during training to obtain the class balance.

  • max_after_balance_size: Specify the maximum relative size of the training data after balancing class counts (balance_classes must be enabled). The value can be less than 1.0.

  • nbins_top_level: (For numerical/real/int columns only) Specify the minimum number of bins at the root level to use to build the histogram. This number will then be decreased by a factor of two per level.

Interpreting a GBM Model

The output for GBM includes the following:

  • Model parameters (hidden)
  • A graph of the scoring history (training MSE vs number of trees)
  • A graph of the variable importances
  • Output (model category, validation metrics, initf)
  • Model summary (number of trees, min. depth, max. depth, mean depth, min. leaves, max. leaves, mean leaves)
  • Scoring history in tabular format
  • Training metrics (model name, model checksum name, frame name, description, model category, duration in ms, scoring time, predictions, MSE, R2)
  • Variable importances in tabular format

Leaf Node Assignment

Trees cluster observations into leaf nodes, and this information can be useful for feature engineering or model interpretability. Use h2o.predict_leaf_node_assignment(model, frame) to get an H2OFrame with the leaf node assignments, or click the checkbox when making predictions from Flow. Those leaf nodes represent decision rules that can be fed to other models (i.e., GLM with lambda search and strong rules) to obtain a limited set of the most important rules.

GBM Algorithm

H2O’s Gradient Boosting Algorithms follow the algorithm specified by Hastie et al (2001):

Initialize \(f_{k0} = 0, k=1,2,…,K\)

For \(m=1\) to \(M\):

  1. Set \(p_{k}(x)=\frac{e^{f_{k}(x)}}{\sum_{l=1}^{K}e^{f_{l}(x)}},k=1,2,…,K\)

  2. For \(k=1\) to \(K\):

    1. Compute \(r_{ikm}=y_{ik}-p_{k}(x_{i}),i=1,2,…,N\)
    2. Fit a regression tree to the targets \(r_{ikm},i=1,2,…,N\), giving terminal regions \(R_{jim},j=1,2,…,J_{m}\)
    3. Compute \(\gamma_{jkm}=\frac{K-1}{K} \frac{\sum_{x_{i} \in R_{jkm}}(r_{ikm})}{\sum_{x_{i} \in R_{jkm}}|r_{ikm}|(1-|r_{ikm})},j=1,2,…,J_m\).
    4. Update \(f_{km}(x)=f_{k,m-1}(x)+\sum_{j=1}^{J_m}\gamma_{jkm} I(x\in R_{jkm})\).

Output \(\hat{f_{k}}(x)=f_{kM}(x),k=1,2,…,K\)

Be aware that the column type affects how the histogram is created and the column type depends on whether rows are excluded or assigned a weight of 0. For example:

val weight 1 1 0.5 0 5 1 3.5 0

The above vec has a real-valued type if passed as a whole, but if the zero-weighted rows are sliced away first, the integer weight is used. The resulting histogram is either kept at full nbins resolution or potentially shrunk to the discrete integer range, which affects the split points.

For more information about the GBM algorithm, refer to the Gradient Boosting Machine booklet.

Binning In GBM

Is the binning range-based or percentile-based?

It’s range based, and re-binned at each tree split. NAs always “go to the left” (smallest) bin. There’s a minimum observations required value (default 10). There has to be at least 1 FP ULP improvement in error to split (all-constant predictors won’t split). nbins is at least 1024 at the top-level, and divides by 2 down each level until you hit the nbins parameter (default: 20). Categoricals use a separate, more aggressive, binning range.

Re-binning means, eg, suppose your column C1 data is: {1,1,2,4,8,16,100,1000}. Then a 20-way binning will use the range from 1 to 1000, bin by units of 50. The first binning will be a lumpy: {1,1,2,4,8,16},{100},{47_empty_bins},{1000}. Suppose the split peels out the {1000} bin from the rest.

Next layer in the tree for the left-split has value from 1 to 100 (not 1000!) and so re-bins in units of 5: {1,1,2,4},{8},{},{16},{lots of empty bins}{100} (the RH split has the single value 1000).

And so on: important dense ranges with split essentially logarithmically at each layer.

What should I do if my variables are long skewed in the tail and might have large outliers?

You can try adding a new predictor column which is either pre-binned (e.g. as a categorical - “small”, “median”, and “giant” values), or a log-transform - plus keep the old column.

GBM Tuning Guide

References

Dietterich, Thomas G, and Eun Bae Kong. “Machine Learning Bias, Statistical Bias, and Statistical Variance of Decision Tree Algorithms.” ML-95 255 (1995).

Elith, Jane, John R Leathwick, and Trevor Hastie. “A Working Guide to Boosted Regression Trees.” Journal of Animal Ecology 77.4 (2008): 802-813

Friedman, Jerome H. “Greedy Function Approximation: A Gradient Boosting Machine.” Annals of Statistics (2001): 1189-1232.

Friedman, Jerome, Trevor Hastie, Saharon Rosset, Robert Tibshirani, and Ji Zhu. “Discussion of Boosting Papers.” Ann. Statist 32 (2004): 102-107

Friedman, Jerome, Trevor Hastie, and Robert Tibshirani. “Additive Logistic Regression: A Statistical View of Boosting (With Discussion and a Rejoinder by the Authors).” The Annals of Statistics 28.2 (2000): 337-407

Hastie, Trevor, Robert Tibshirani, and J Jerome H Friedman. The Elements of Statistical Learning. Vol.1. N.p., page 339: Springer New York, 2001.

FAQ

This section describes some common questions asked by users. The questions are broken down based on one of the types below.